Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020356 0.022017 0.023750 0.025693 0.027813 0.030058 0.032615
2025-09-21 0.017437 0.019791 0.022378 0.025439 0.028967 0.032915 0.037679
2025-09-28 0.015657 0.018418 0.021574 0.025460 0.030132 0.035587 0.042467
2025-10-05 0.014277 0.017285 0.020834 0.025349 0.030966 0.037759 0.046647
2025-10-12 0.013305 0.016512 0.020399 0.025486 0.032007 0.040139 0.051130
2025-10-19 0.012467 0.015811 0.019964 0.025537 0.032874 0.042279 0.055368
2025-10-26 0.011716 0.015153 0.019514 0.025499 0.033573 0.044184 0.059354
2025-11-02 0.011067 0.014572 0.019108 0.025466 0.034235 0.046034 0.063329
2025-11-09 0.010339 0.013834 0.018439 0.025017 0.034276 0.047003 0.066091
2025-11-16 0.009687 0.013157 0.017806 0.024565 0.034262 0.047860 0.068701
2025-11-23 0.009224 0.012710 0.017456 0.024476 0.034736 0.049406 0.072376
2025-11-30 0.008767 0.012244 0.017051 0.024275 0.035019 0.050670 0.075672
2025-12-07 0.008338 0.011813 0.016693 0.024153 0.035457 0.052251 0.079668
2025-12-14 0.007903 0.011352 0.016270 0.023914 0.035708 0.053570 0.083356
2025-12-21 0.007578 0.011032 0.016033 0.023934 0.036344 0.055502 0.088130
2025-12-28 0.007245 0.010682 0.015731 0.023830 0.036769 0.057112 0.092463
2026-01-04 0.006998 0.010448 0.015587 0.023958 0.037559 0.059333 0.097943
2026-01-11 0.006749 0.010197 0.015402 0.024006 0.038213 0.061357 0.103203
2026-01-18 0.006497 0.009929 0.015176 0.023970 0.038720 0.063152 0.108167
2026-01-25 0.006264 0.009677 0.014961 0.023939 0.039223 0.064959 0.113255
2026-02-01 0.005960 0.009299 0.014527 0.023520 0.039040 0.065566 0.116192
2026-02-08 0.005675 0.008939 0.014106 0.023097 0.038824 0.066095 0.119002
2026-02-15 0.005477 0.008713 0.013891 0.023014 0.039191 0.067667 0.123861